RBAC Inc., Energy Market Simulation Systems

Indonesia’s LNG Rebalance: Demand, Supply, and Global Impacts

When Export Desires Yield to Domestic Necessities Indonesia, long regarded as a dependable player in the global LNG market, is now making waves for a different reason. In 2024, the country diverted roughly 50 LNG cargoes—about 17% of its expected exports—for domestic use due to surging internal demand and declining gas production. This strategic redirection […]

Alaska: New Frontiers in LNG

The Last Frontier and its abundance of energy resources is once again in the spotlight garnering interest from South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan for investment into its natural gas infrastructure. Alaska has a wealth of natural gas  with 35 tcf of proven reserves on the North Slope and another 200 tcf potentially recoverable. The famous […]

Who Will Benefit from the U.S.-China LNG Trade Disruption?

On February 4th, 2025, China imposed a 15% tariff on U.S. LNG. In our previous article we looked at historical LNG trade between these two countries and how the usage of tariffs between September 2018 and March 2020 affected the market. So, with 20/20 vision towards historical data and a look ahead to possible future outcomes with […]

Tariff Terror

It’s only February, and already this year has experienced a whirlwind of changes, particularly for the energy industry. Starting with the weather, a polar vortex-esque Winter Storm named “Demi” blasted most of the U.S., dumping record breaking snow in some southern regions, including the Florida Panhandle, then blanketed the northern United States with sub-zero temperatures.  […]

Iran’s $120B Bet on Natural Gas

Can Iran Catch Up in the Race to Dominate the World’s Largest Gas Field? In 2022 Iran released a 5-year development plan which shaped the overall strategy for the country across a variety of sectors. One of these sectors was energy, and specifically oil and gas. Taking advantage of some of the largest gas fields […]

How Will the U.S. Energy Mix Trajectory Change Under the New Trump Administration?

Immediate Executive Action on Energy In less than a week, the new Trump Administration has drastically changed the trajectory of the energy industry. Although not unexpected, as Trump has been very outspoken about his intentions on the campaign trail, these changes have been met with the full gamut of reactions from praise to complete melt […]

Natural Gas Price Predictions for 2025: A Bullish or Bearish Market?

Natural Gas Market Insights from RBAC’s 24Q3base Release How Confident Are You? As we head into the 2024/25 winter season, the natural gas market appears to be staring down the barrel of yet another mild winter and loose Supply/Demand (SnD) balances. The El Niño of yesteryear is now replaced by a La Niña and although […]

Renewables, Reality and Evaluating the Global Energy Transition

Last year, RBAC’s James Brooks wrote the article, “Has the Energy Transition Been Cancelled?’[1] about the progress being made towards a global energy transition and whether the various goals outlined by countries around the world would actually be met by their target dates. There he pointed out that despite massive investments into renewable sources of […]

New Trader on The Block

Boy bands may be making a comeback, even if it is only for laundry detergent commercials. But in the natural gas trading world, producers’ actions, or reactions, seem to be occurring more rapidly than previously thought. The implications on supply response to price, “elasticity” in the econ world, can certainly change the shape of short […]

Saudi Arabia Bets Big on Gas and LNG

Saudi Arabia is primarily known for its vast oil reserves which has contributed to the rapid economic development in the country. Saudi Aramco (also Aramco) has grown to be one not only the largest energy company in the world, but one of the largest across all industries. Figure 1 – The largest companies in the […]