RBAC Inc., Energy Market Simulation Systems

MVP Southgate: The Next Domino to Fall

With the “on again off again” nature of Mountain Valley Pipeline’s Status, there was bound to be collateral damage.  In our August 2022 commentary “Can Mountain Valley Pipeline Reduce Inflation?” we discussed the background of the project and the benefits it would provide to Virginia customers.  These benefits look to be on the horizon after the 4th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected a challenge to federal approvals on August 11th, 2023.  Equitrans Midstream projects an in-service date of January 2024 for the oft-maligned pipeline. 

For collateral damage from Mountain Valley Pipeline, look no further than the MVP Southgate project, a proposed southward extension of the pipeline.  Originally intended to ship cheap Marcellus natural gas even further south, the 73.7 mile MVP Southgate project would connect customers in Southern Virginia and North Central Carolina before finally reaching Dominion Energy North Carolina customers. 

Source: Equitrans Q2-2023 Investor Presentation
In our previous article, mentioned above, we used GPCM® Market Simulator for North American Gas & LNG software to forecast future Transco Z5 Pricing with and without Mountain Valley Pipeline.  We found that customers in the region were paying a 33% premium on their natural gas costs without the project.  This is the same story for MVP Southgate, which promises to pass along similar cost reductions to an even larger population in Virginia and North Carolina.
Source: RBAC, https://rbac.com/can-mountain-valley-pipeline-reduce-inflation/

These pipelines serve regions historically known for coal production and consumption.  In fact, numerous power plants in the region still run on coal.  When comparing Coal and Natural Gas’s Carbon Dioxide intensity we find that emissions are reduced by 50% when natural gas is utilized. By facilitating delivery of a reliable fuel source that not only is cheaper, but reduces emissions as well, these pipelines benefit consumers and the environment at the same time.

EIA: https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php
Only time will tell if MVP Southgate gains traction and gets built like its namesake, but as this region experiences coal to natural gas switching; Appalachian natural gas infrastructure will be of increasing importance.  Using GPCM® Market Simulator software allows users to quantify this importance and make a case that benefits all energy consumers.

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E-mail:

contact@rbac.com

Contact Numbers:

Administration:
(281) 506-0588
Sales:
(281) 506-0588 ext. 126
Support:
(281) 506-0588 ext. 125

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